GCKN logo.

GCKN: SOCIOCULTURAL RUNNING ESTIMATE – Belarus: New Strategy, New Threats, More Suppression

GCKN: SOCIOCULTURAL RUNNING ESTIMATE – Belarus: New Strategy, New Threats, More Suppression

In This Running Estimate…

  • In Russian popular perspectives, Putin’s popularity dropped two points to 83%, while support for the SMO steadied at 76% after a dip in November. Belief that the SMO is successful rose four points to 66% in November, with no data for December, and support for negotiation dropped four points to 53%.
  • Belarus released a new military strategy defining the United States and NATO as “unfriendly” while declaring willingness for dialogue.
  • Belarus both perceives the West as a threat and displays a threatening posture to the West.
  • The Lukashenko regime has waged a harsh domestic political suppression campaign since the 2020 elections yet resists mobilization or direct involvement in the war in Ukraine.

Click here

Recent Posts

Russia OE Watch Articles From 2024 Issue #7

10/28/2024

Russia Gains Combat Power from Volunteer Service https://fmso.tradoc.army.mil/2024/russia-gains-combat-power-from-volunteer-service/ By Chuck…

Ukrainian Unmanned Aerial System Tactics

10/08/2024

In early June 2023, Ukraine launched a counteroffensive to retake…

FMSO: Russia OE Watch Articles From 2024 Issue #6

09/16/2024

FMSO: Russia OE Watch Articles From 2024 Issue #6  …